ISSN 0253-2778

CN 34-1054/N

open

Robust Gini covariance matrix estimation for portfolio selection based on a factor model

  • Portfolio theory has been extensively studied and applied in finance. To determine the optimal portfolio weight under the global minimum variance strategy, it is necessary to estimate both the covariance matrix and its inverse. However, the high dimensionality and heavy-tailed nature of financial data pose significant challenges to this estimation. In this article, we propose a method to estimate the Gini covariance matrix by introducing a low-rank and sparse variable correlation structure as an alternative to the traditional sample covariance matrix. Our approach employs a factor model to capture the low-rank structure, combined with thresholding rules to achieve the final estimation. We demonstrate the consistency of our estimators and validate our approach through simulation experiments and empirical portfolio analyses. The simulation results show that our method is highly applicable across a variety of distributional scenarios. The empirical portfolio analysis further indicates that our method can construct portfolios with superior performance.
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